TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 7:57 AM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses the potential margin of victory in an upcoming professional soccer match between Shanghai Port and CONG AN. It focuses on how many goals the winning team scores beyond the opponent, with different thresholds defining various outcomes.
The event evaluates different goal-differential scenarios in the Shanghai Port versus CONG AN professional AFC Champions League match scheduled for October 27, 2026. Resolution occurs based on the margin of victory after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If Shanghai Port wins by more than 2.5 goals, that specific market resolves to Yes. Similarly, if they win by more than 1.5 goals, another market resolves affirmatively. Parallel conditions exist for CONG AN, with markets resolving to Yes if they win by more than 1.5 or more than 2.5 goals. All markets share a common secondary disclaimer stating that Kalshi has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the odds can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, but it's important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates the cost to purchase a contract that pays out if the specified outcome happens. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the event's outcome and trading accordingly.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Shanghai Port vs CONG AN match, specifically the spread as determined by official match statistics. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 27, 2026. News regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could all impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected results in other matches involving these teams could also shift sentiment. Major announcements related to the league or the event itself would likely cause significant price movement. Monitoring these signals and assessing their potential impact is key to understanding how this market might evolve.