TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the Chinese Super League game, scheduled for October 18 at 8:00 AM ET.
More markets for the Chinese Super League game, scheduled for October 18 at 8:00 AM ET.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and incentives than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while Polymarket allows traders to directly assess probabilities. This can lead to differences in implied probabilities, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It's common to see prediction markets more accurately reflect true probabilities, particularly when there's significant public interest and trading volume in this market.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time, based on the collective wisdom of the crowd.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the Shanghai Haigang FC versus Chengdu Rongcheng FC match, as reported by a recognized sports news source. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final result of this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or tactical adjustments announced by either Shanghai Haigang FC or Chengdu Rongcheng FC could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match analysis from respected sports commentators, could also lead to price movements. Overall team performance in recent matches and any significant changes in team management are further signals that could impact this market.