TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 9:43 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional basketball game between two teams competing in China's top-tier league. The event will determine which team secures a victory in their scheduled match. Results are based on official game outcomes, with specific guidelines for postponements and cancellations.
The event resolves based on the official result of the men's professional China CBA basketball game between Shandong Kirin and Nanjing Monkey Kings, scheduled for October 23, 2026, at 7:35 AM EDT. If either team wins the game as officially recorded, the corresponding market will resolve to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves according to the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi clarifies it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or public perception. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines to balance betting action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information or analytical approaches, offering opportunities for informed traders to identify potential value. It's important to compare both to form a well-rounded view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the aggregated sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means prices can fluctuate based on supply and demand, driven by new information or changing opinions about the Shandong Kirin vs Nanjing Monkey Kings match. The goal is to find contracts that are mispriced relative to your own assessment of the event’s likelihood.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Shandong Kirin vs Nanjing Monkey Kings match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the winning outcome. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their chosen contract aligned with the final result, as determined by the publicly available information.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected performance in preceding matches could significantly shift expectations. Public sentiment, reflected in polls or expert analysis, may also play a role, though this market is driven by individual trader assessments. Major announcements related to the game's conditions, such as venue changes or weather forecasts, could also cause price movements. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in the market.