TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 9:20 AM EST
Kalshi
A competitive basketball match features Shandong Kirin and Fujian Sturgeons battling for supremacy on the court. The game's result will be closely followed by supporters and sports enthusiasts.
If Fujian Sturgeons wins the Shandong Kirin vs Fujian Sturgeons men's professional China CBA basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 29, 2026 at 7:35 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Shandong Kirin wins the Shandong Kirin vs Fujian Sturgeons men's professional China CBA basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 29, 2026 at 7:35 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective prediction of informed traders. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before a significant amount of volume is traded. If a large number of people believe a sportsbook is mispricing a team's chances, the prediction market may move in the opposite direction. This difference can present opportunities for arbitrage or simply indicate where the 'crowd' believes the true probability lies.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time estimate of expectations. The market depth, shown on the dashboard, indicates the volume of buy and sell orders at various price points, revealing potential support and resistance levels. This creates a fluid pricing mechanism driven by supply and demand.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Shandong Kirin vs Fujian Sturgeons game, as reported by a recognized sports data source. The platform will verify the final score and determine the winning outcome based on that information. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event schedule and stay informed about any potential delays or changes.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. News regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or significant performance shifts could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team morale might also cause movement. Furthermore, any major upsets in other games involving these teams could affect perceptions of their overall strength and influence trading activity. Public opinion, as reflected in sports news and analysis, can also play a role, though the market often incorporates information before it becomes widely known.