TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$192,072,993
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,842,388,377
408,027
Markets across
40,419
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 11:50 AM EST
Polymarket
This prediction market asks for the winner of a single Chinese Basketball Association (CBA) game between the Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin and the Tianjin Pioneers. The market resolves to the winning team, with a 50-50 split if the game is canceled and no makeup game is scheduled. Overtime is included in the final score.
In the upcoming CBA game, scheduled for October 25 at 7:35AM ET: If the Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin win, the market will resolve to "Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin". If the Tianjin Pioneers win, the market will resolve to "Tianjin Pioneers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
In the upcoming CBA game, scheduled for October 25 at 7:35AM ET: If the Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin win, the market will resolve to "Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin". If the Tianjin Pioneers win, the market will resolve to "Tianjin Pioneers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction markets reflect the aggregate beliefs of informed traders. This market’s price is driven by individuals incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome, potentially leading to more efficient pricing. While sportsbooks may incorporate public perception and biases, prediction markets tend to be more sensitive to private information and expert analysis. This can result in discrepancies, offering opportunities for arbitrage.
Prices for the Shandong vs. Tianjin game may vary between Polymarket and Predict due to several factors. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information. Trading volume can also influence prices; a market with higher volume on one platform may exhibit greater price discovery. Furthermore, the specific rules and fee structures of each platform can impact trading behavior and, consequently, the displayed odds. It's common to observe temporary discrepancies until market forces align the prices, but these differences can persist.