TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 11:43 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming CBA game, scheduled for October 18 at 7:35AM ET: If the Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin win, the market will resolve to "Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin". If the Liaoning Flying Leopards win, the market will resolve to "Liaoning Flying Leopards". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
In the upcoming CBA game, scheduled for October 18 at 7:35AM ET: If the Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin win, the market will resolve to "Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin". If the Liaoning Flying Leopards win, the market will resolve to "Liaoning Flying Leopards". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Comparing prediction market odds to those offered by sportsbooks can reveal interesting insights into public perception versus informed trader opinion. Often, sportsbooks set initial lines based on team rankings and statistical analysis, while this market reflects the wisdom of the crowd, incorporating a wider range of factors and potentially more up-to-date information. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of expertise among bettors and the incentive structure of prediction markets, where traders are financially motivated to accurately forecast the outcome. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts accordingly, creating a dynamic and responsive market. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price is driven entirely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and represents the collective forecast of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin versus Liaoning Flying Leopards game as reported by the Chinese Basketball Association. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or significant performance shifts could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or internal team dynamics might also play a role. Furthermore, general public perception and media coverage surrounding the teams could contribute to shifts in the market. Monitoring these signals and events will be key to understanding potential price movements in this market.