TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Sporting CP wins by more than 1.5 goals
- Kalshi
Sporting CP wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 3, 2026
Time left: 22h:25m:17s
$
This spread-focused event will test the relative strengths of Shakhtar and Sporting CP. The match outcome will depend on which team can maintain a decisive lead, with particular attention on whether Shakhtar can dominate by a margin greater than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, or if Sporting CP can secure a convincing victory of their own.
If Shakhtar wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Shakhtar vs Sporting CP professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 3, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Shakhtar wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Shakhtar vs Sporting CP professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 3, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Sporting CP wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Shakhtar vs Sporting CP professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 3, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Sporting CP wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Shakhtar vs Sporting CP professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 3, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams' strengths. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available closer to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders submit bids and asks for contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices converge towards a fair value based on the collective information available. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay or receive for a contract that pays out if their predicted outcome occurs in the Shakhtar vs Sporting CP match.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Shakhtar vs Sporting CP match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final score of the match, as reported by official sources. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not. The platform will verify the result and distribute payouts accordingly following the event's conclusion.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market leading up to Nov 3, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or tactical adjustments could significantly shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-match statements from coaches or players could also impact the market. Furthermore, large trading volumes from informed participants might indicate new information or a change in sentiment regarding the Shakhtar vs Sporting CP match, causing prices to fluctuate.