TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Sporting CP
- Kalshi
Sporting CP - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 3, 2026
Time left: 18h:34m:45s
$
Two European soccer clubs compete in a high-stakes Champions League match where the outcome depends solely on the result after regular time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts.
This event covers a professional Champions League soccer match scheduled for November 3, 2026, between Shakhtar and Sporting CP. The market resolves based on the result after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, without considering extra time or penalty shootouts. Three possible outcomes are evaluated: a win for Shakhtar, a win for Sporting CP, or a tie. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will be resolved at a fair price. The event explicitly states no affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to profit by balancing action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional forecasts, especially when there is significant public interest. It’s common to see discrepancies, as this market represents a different set of participants and information than you'd find at a sportsbook.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Shakhtar vs Sporting CP match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will rise. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities as the event approaches.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Shakhtar vs Sporting CP match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will determine which outcome – a Shakhtar win, a Sporting CP win, or a draw – occurred during the match. All trading will cease once the result is officially available and the market will be settled accordingly.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions at the match venue could also play a role. Furthermore, shifts in public opinion, reflected in betting patterns and media coverage, will influence trading activity. Even late-breaking news about player form or tactical adjustments could cause the market to react and adjust its predictions before Nov 3, 2026.