TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 3:51 PM EST
Kalshi
This event centers on the Champions League encounter between Shakhtar and AEK Athens scheduled for October 14, 2026, focusing on whether each team scores at least one goal during the 90 minutes of play plus stoppage time. The resolution hinges on the attacking efficiency of both sides within the normal match timeframe, with extra time and penalties not considered.
If Shakhtar and AEK Athens both score a goal in the Shakhtar vs AEK Athens Champions League match originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook odds which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may initially incorporate biases or react quickly to news, while this market allows a broader range of participants to weigh in and adjust the probabilities. If sportsbook odds suggest a lower probability of both teams scoring than what’s indicated by the current price on Kalshi, it could signal an opportunity for informed traders. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of the same event occurring.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing a 'Yes' or 'No' outcome to the question of whether both Shakhtar and AEK Athens will score during the match. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective belief of traders on Kalshi regarding the likelihood of both teams finding the net.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both Shakhtar and AEK Athens score at least one goal during the scheduled match time, including any added injury time. The final result will be determined by official match data and statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Shakhtar or AEK Athens would likely have a significant impact. Tactical changes announced by either manager, particularly those impacting attacking formations, could also shift the market. Furthermore, weather conditions on match day, and even pre-match analysis from reputable football commentators, can all contribute to changes in trader sentiment and, consequently, the price of this market.