TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 5:55 AM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams competing in China's League 1. The result depends solely on the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time, without considering extra time or penalty shootouts. It reflects the immediate competitive performance of the teams as they battle for victory in a key league fixture.
The event determines the winner of a professional China League 1 soccer match scheduled for October 18, 2026, between Shaanxi Union FC and Guandong GZ-Power FC. The market resolves based on the result after the full 90 minutes of regulation time plus any stoppage time, explicitly excluding extra time or penalty shootout outcomes. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Shaanxi Union FC, a win for Guandong GZ-Power FC, or a tie. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will instead resolve to a fair price according to the platform’s guidelines. The event operates independently of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and risk management, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If sportsbook odds suggest a clear favorite, it’s interesting to see if this market agrees or if traders believe there’s value in an alternative outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information or interpretations of the teams' strengths and weaknesses.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Shaanxi vs Guandong match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the event's likelihood. The current price indicates the market's expectation for the outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the Shaanxi Union FC versus Guandong GZ-Power FC match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and settle the market accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly shift expectations. Match previews from sports analysts, and public sentiment expressed on social media, might also impact trading behavior. Furthermore, any updates on weather conditions or stadium changes could introduce uncertainty and volatility into this market. Monitoring these signals can help traders assess potential movements in the odds.