TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 5:25 AM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match between Shaanxi Union FC and Foshan Nanshi FC in China's League 1. Bettors can speculate on whether either team will secure a victory or if the game will conclude without a clear winner. The resolution depends strictly on the result after the full 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event involves a professional China League 1 soccer match scheduled for October 11, 2026, between Shaanxi Union FC and Foshan Nanshi FC. There are three possible outcomes: a win for Shaanxi Union FC, a win for Foshan Nanshi FC, or a tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Each outcome has a corresponding market that resolves to 'Yes' if that specific result occurs. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform’s rules. The resolution explicitly excludes extra time and penalty shootout results.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance their risk, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities as new information emerges. Discrepancies can arise from differing opinions, access to information, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the market. It’s common to see this market adjust rapidly to news or events that impact the perceived likelihood of a particular outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Shaanxi vs Foshan match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. Higher volume generally indicates greater confidence in the current price, while significant price swings suggest uncertainty or new information impacting the market.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Shaanxi vs Foshan match, as reported by a trusted sports news source. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which contracts will pay out. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for losing outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 11, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in previous matches for either Shaanxi Union FC or Foshan Nanshi FC could also impact the market. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi could cause noticeable price movements, as traders react to perceived advantages or disadvantages. Public opinion and expert analysis, while not directly reflected in the market, can also indirectly influence trading behavior.