TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 2:28 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming 3. Liga game between SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach and Rot-Weiss Essen, scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 10:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs. Rot-Weiss Essen match originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 10:30 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming 3. Liga game between SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach and Rot-Weiss Essen, scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 10:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs. Rot-Weiss Essen match originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 10:30 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It's common to see differences emerge, especially when public sentiment strongly deviates from the sportsbook's initial assessment. Examining these discrepancies can be valuable for informed decision-making, though it's important to remember that both sources have their strengths and weaknesses.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing different exact scores. The price of each share reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are influenced by news, team form, injuries, and overall betting sentiment. The more shares bought for a particular score, the higher its price, and the greater the implied probability.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final, official result of the Grossaspach vs. Essen match – the exact score – will be used to determine the winning shares. It’s important to note that the resolution will rely on official sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders should monitor official announcements to stay informed about the event’s progress and the eventual outcome that will trigger settlement.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Grossaspach or Essen would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day might influence the expected scoreline. Finally, major tactical announcements from either team’s manager, or even significant pre-match betting activity, could all contribute to movement in this market before Nov 1, 2026.