TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 5:01 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between SG Dynamo Dresden and FC Schalke 04, scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "SG Dynamo Dresden" if SG Dynamo Dresden are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Schalke 04" if FC Schalke 04 are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between SG Dynamo Dresden and FC Schalke 04, scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "SG Dynamo Dresden" if SG Dynamo Dresden are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Schalke 04" if FC Schalke 04 are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market allows traders to directly assess the probabilities. If a significant discrepancy exists between the implied probability on Polymarket and sportsbook odds, it might indicate that the market believes the sportsbook is mispricing the likelihood of a particular outcome. However, it's important to remember that both represent different forms of opinion and aren't always directly comparable.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about which team will score first. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd, and changes in volume or large trades can quickly shift the odds. Currently, the market indicates a certain level of confidence in one team, but that can change rapidly as new information becomes available.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the Dynamo Dresden vs. Schalke 04 match. The official match records will be used to determine the winning outcome. Any potential disputes will be reviewed based on publicly available information to ensure a fair and accurate resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or even weather conditions could significantly shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements about player form or tactical changes could also drive movement. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants or shifts in public sentiment can cause rapid price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals closely will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to Oct 28, 2026.