TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 7:19 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team scores in an upcoming football game, allowing participants to speculate on the performance of either the San Francisco 49ers or the Seattle Seahawks. The outcomes depend solely on the final point totals each team achieves during the match.
The event consists of multiple sub-markets, each corresponding to a specific point threshold for either the San Francisco 49ers or the Seattle Seahawks in their Pro Football game scheduled for October 11, 2026. Each sub-market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified team scores more than the designated point threshold during the game. The thresholds vary incrementally for both teams, ranging from modest scores to very high totals. All markets are independent, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. The governing league's official scoring rules apply, and Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the league. Trademarks and brand names belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the influence of public opinion and information aggregation. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analysis, while this market evolves as traders buy and sell contracts, incorporating new information and diverse perspectives. Over time, prediction market prices often become more accurate forecasts than traditional odds, especially as the event draws nearer and more volume is traded. It’s common to see convergence between the two, but discrepancies can still exist due to differing market participants and risk appetites.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders set the odds by placing buy and sell orders for contracts representing different team total outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The current market prices are driven entirely by the collective decisions of those trading contracts on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final team totals for both the 49ers and the Seahawks will be sourced from official game statistics. The market will settle based on the actual combined score of both teams at the conclusion of the game, as recorded by the official league statistics. Any overtime periods will be included in the final team totals used for resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the 49ers or the Seahawks would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting passing or kicking games, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale, and even significant betting patterns observed on Kalshi, could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market as traders react to new information.