TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 7:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This market asks whether the SEA Seahawks will win by more than 1.5 points in their game against the SF 49ers. Currently, Kalshi gives a 65.0% probability to that outcome. The market will resolve based on the final point differential in the SF 49ers vs SEA Seahawks Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, as reported by the official game results. Keep a close watch on the game itself on October 11, 2026, as the final score will determine the market’s resolution.
All markets resolve based solely on the final official score of the SF 49ers vs SEA Seahawks Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 11, 2026. A market resolves to Yes if the winning team exceeds the specified point differential indicated in the market title. For instance, if SEA Seahawks win by more than 20.5 points, all SEA 'wins by over X points' markets (where X ≤ 20.5) resolve to Yes, while all SF markets resolve to No. Conversely, if SF 49ers win by more than 1.5 points, all SF 'wins by over X points' markets (where X ≤ 1.5) resolve to Yes, and all SEA markets resolve to No. If either team wins by exactly the threshold point value (e.g., SEA wins by exactly 20.5 points), no market resolves as Yes—only markets requiring a greater margin would meet their conditions. All secondary disclaimers regarding affiliations and intellectual property ownership are consistent across markets and do not affect resolution criteria.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price on Kalshi will move accordingly, potentially offering better value than what’s available at a sportsbook. It’s a fascinating comparison of different approaches to forecasting the game’s outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different spread outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their forecasts are correct. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a highly efficient and informative market for predicting the 49ers-Seahawks spread.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread will be determined by the official result of the game between the San Francisco 49ers and the Seattle Seahawks. The market will settle to 100 if the actual spread falls within the range of outcomes offered, and to 0 for any outcome not offered. The resolution will reflect the official game statistics as reported by a trusted sports data source.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game. Any significant news regarding player injuries to key players on either the 49ers or the Seahawks would likely cause movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact the spread. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about team strategy or coaching decisions could shift trader sentiment. Even public perception, as reflected in polls or media analysis, could contribute to price fluctuations in this market.