TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 7:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points specifically in the 4th quarter of an upcoming NFL game between the San Francisco 49ers and the Seattle Seahawks. The outcome depends solely on the performance of each team during the final quarter of play, excluding any overtime periods.
If Seattle wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the SF 49ers vs SEA Seahawks Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If San Francisco wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the SF 49ers vs SEA Seahawks Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the SF 49ers vs SEA Seahawks Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, aiming to profit regardless of the outcome. This market, however, is driven purely by traders predicting the most likely result. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on team strength and public perception, this market can quickly adjust to new information or shifts in sentiment, potentially offering a more accurate forecast of the 49ers-Seahawks fourth quarter winner. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access and analytical approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts for a specific team, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability of that team winning the fourth quarter. Conversely, selling contracts lowers the price, suggesting a decreased probability. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to aggregate information and provide a real-time assessment of the likely winner.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the team leading at the end of the fourth quarter of the 49ers versus Seahawks game will be declared the winner of this market. The official game results, as reported by authoritative sports news sources, will serve as the basis for determining the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on their positions in this market.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries to either the 49ers or the Seahawks would likely cause a shift in the odds. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also impact trading activity. In-game performance during the first three quarters – such as a dominant offensive showing or a series of turnovers – will undoubtedly drive price movements in this market as traders react to the unfolding events and adjust their predictions.