TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 7:45 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the total points scored by both teams in the final quarter of a football game, helping participants assess the likelihood of a high-scoring finish. Each market corresponds to a different scoring threshold, allowing for varied predictions about the game's intensity in its closing moments.
All markets resolve based on the combined points scored by the San Francisco 49ers and Seattle Seahawks during the 4th quarter of their game scheduled for October 11, 2026, excluding any overtime periods. Each market has a specific threshold: if the total points exceed that threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. The thresholds range from 3.5 to 24.5 points, offering multiple levels of scoring expectations. Only points scored during regulation play in the 4th quarter count, and the markets are independent of each other, meaning each threshold must be evaluated separately according to its own criteria.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, and can sometimes differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk, incorporating a profit margin, while this market represents the probability that traders assign to a specific outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, particularly as new information emerges or public perception shifts. Comparing the implied probability from this market to sportsbook odds can reveal where the crowd believes there is value, or where the sportsbook may be overestimating or underestimating the likelihood of a particular result.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the 49ers-Seahawks game is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the total points scored in the 4th quarter will be tallied, and the market will settle based on whether that total exceeds the predetermined threshold. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the result. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand the market’s outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the 49ers or Seahawks would likely cause significant movement, as this impacts the expected scoring potential. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect passing or kicking games, could also shift the market. In-game events, such as early scoring drives or defensive stops, will also cause the market to react dynamically as traders adjust their expectations based on the unfolding action.