TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 7:12 PM EST
Kalshi
For the SF 49ers vs SEA Seahawks Pro Football game, this market determines the 3rd Quarter winner. The outcome is based solely on which team scores more points during that quarter, with a tie resulting in a specific resolution for all team-based outcomes.
The market resolves based on which team scores the most points in the 3rd Quarter of the SF 49ers vs SEA Seahawks Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 11, 2026. If Seattle scores more points, the Seattle market resolves to Yes. If San Francisco scores more points, the San Francisco market resolves to Yes. If both teams score the same amount of points, the Tie market resolves to Yes, and all team markets resolve to No. Only points scored during the 3rd Quarter count towards this market.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of informed bettors believe a sportsbook is mispricing a team’s chances, you might see the prediction market odds diverge. It’s common to observe differences, especially as new information emerges or public opinion shifts leading up to the game. This can present opportunities for arbitrage or informed speculation.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome – in this case, either the 49ers or the Seahawks winning the 3rd quarter. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the likely winner. The market depth shows the available buy and sell orders at different price points, indicating the level of demand and supply for each outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official result of which team won the 3rd quarter of the 49ers versus Seahawks game will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics and scoring as reported by trusted sports data providers. All trading will cease once the 3rd quarter concludes, and the winning outcome will be declared shortly thereafter, allowing for a swift and transparent settlement process.
Several factors could influence the price movement in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries to either the 49ers or Seahawks would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also shift the probabilities. Unexpected news about coaching strategies or team morale could also move the market. Finally, large trading volume from informed bettors, or even significant media coverage, can all contribute to price fluctuations as traders react to new information and adjust their expectations before Oct 11, 2026.