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Closed: Oct 11, 7:12 PM EST
Kalshi
In the upcoming Pro Football game between the SF 49ers and SEA Seahawks, this market focuses on the point differential specifically in the 3rd Quarter. The outcome depends on how many more points one team scores compared to the other during that quarter, with various thresholds defining different market resolutions.
Each market resolves based on the point differential in the 3rd Quarter of the SF 49ers vs SEA Seahawks Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 11, 2026. If the SEA Seahawks win by the specified number of points or more, the corresponding SEA market resolves to Yes; if the SF 49ers win by the specified number of points or more, the corresponding SF market resolves to Yes. Only points scored during the 3rd Quarter count towards these markets. The markets cover various point differentials ranging from over 2.5 points to over 10.5 points for both teams.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and perspectives beyond those considered by traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbook odds are set by professional oddsmakers, this market allows anyone to trade contracts based on their own analysis. Consequently, you might observe differences between the two, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It’s common to see prediction markets move more quickly than sportsbooks in response to breaking news or late-developing trends related to the game and its key players.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the 49ers-Seahawks 3rd quarter. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts for a particular spread, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived likelihood of that outcome. Conversely, increased selling pressure drives the price down. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to aggregate information and express a collective prediction about the game's third quarter.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the third quarter of the 49ers-Seahawks game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the game’s governing body. The specific spread that corresponds to the actual result will determine which contracts pay out, and at what value. Traders holding contracts on the winning spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing spreads will not.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the 49ers or Seahawks would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the passing or running game, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could prompt traders to reassess their positions. Even public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can contribute to price fluctuations in this dynamic market.