TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 6:31 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the total points scored by both teams during the second quarter of an upcoming NFL game. Each market has a different threshold, determining whether the combined score exceeds a specific number of points. The outcome depends solely on the points accumulated in that specific quarter.
All markets resolve based on the combined points scored by the San Francisco 49ers and Seattle Seahawks during the second quarter of their Pro Football game scheduled for October 11, 2026. Each market has a unique threshold, ranging from over 3.5 points to over 24.5 points. If the total points scored by both teams in the second quarter exceed the specified threshold for a given market, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Only points scored during the second quarter count, and the markets are independent of each other, each evaluating a different point total benchmark.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to predict the most likely outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets may be more sensitive to information not fully captured by traditional oddsmakers. It's common to see differences in implied probabilities, with this market sometimes offering more favorable odds depending on the information available to traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous, order-book style exchange. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of the total points scored in the 2nd quarter falling within a specific range. The price of a contract reflects the market's current expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the likely outcome. The price is determined solely by supply and demand from traders on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the total points scored in the 2nd quarter of the 49ers versus Seahawks game will be used to determine whether the 'yes' or 'no' outcome prevails. The official NFL game statistics will serve as the basis for verification, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game ends. Any news regarding key player injuries to either the 49ers or Seahawks, particularly quarterbacks or key offensive players, would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, especially if they indicate adverse conditions like heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact scoring expectations. Finally, any significant shifts in public perception or expert analysis regarding the teams' offensive capabilities could lead to adjustments in the price of this market.