TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 6:31 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting the margin of victory for either the San Francisco 49ers or the Seattle Seahawks specifically within the second quarter of their scheduled game. Each market corresponds to a different point differential threshold that must be exceeded by the winning team during that quarter alone.
All markets resolve based solely on the point differential between the San Francisco 49ers and Seattle Seahawks during the second quarter of their game scheduled for October 11, 2026. Each market specifies a different threshold that the winning team must surpass for the outcome to resolve as 'Yes'. Only points scored in the second quarter count toward these markets, regardless of the overall game result. The thresholds range from narrow margins like over 2.5 points to larger margins such as over 10.5 points, offering varied levels of difficulty for each outcome. These markets are independent of any broader game results or other quarters' performances.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to make accurate predictions. This can lead to differences in the perceived probability of various outcomes. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts, as traders adjust their positions based on their own analysis and insights. Examining these differences can be a valuable exercise for informed forecasting.
On Kalshi, the price of contracts for the 49ers-Seahawks 2nd quarter spread is determined by supply and demand. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. When there's higher demand for a particular spread, the price increases, signifying a growing belief in that outcome. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price. This continuous auction process allows the market to efficiently aggregate information and reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd, resulting in a probability-weighted price for each possible spread.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread of the second quarter of the SF 49ers vs. SEA Seahawks game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts predicting a spread that matches the actual result will settle at 100, while those predicting a different spread will settle at 0. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and data sources to ensure accuracy and transparency.
Numerous factors could influence the 49ers-Seahawks 2nd quarter spread market leading up to Oct 11, 2026. Unexpected news about player availability, such as a key injury or a last-minute change in the starting lineup, would almost certainly cause price movement. Significant shifts in public perception, driven by expert analysis or updated betting odds from other sources, could also impact trading activity. Finally, any in-game developments during the first quarter, such as a dominant performance by one team or a crucial turnover, could lead to rapid adjustments in this market.