TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 7:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting whether the combined score of the San Francisco 49ers and Seattle Seahawks in the second half of their game will exceed various thresholds. The outcome depends solely on points scored after halftime, including any overtime periods.
These markets determine if the total points scored by both the San Francisco 49ers and Seattle Seahawks during the second half (including overtime) of their game scheduled for October 11, 2026, exceed specified thresholds ranging from 3.5 to 42.5 points. Each market has a unique threshold, and the outcome for each is resolved independently based on whether the combined second-half score surpasses its respective threshold. Points from the first half or regular time beyond the scheduled end do not count unless overtime is played, in which case overtime points are included. The markets are distinct, meaning each threshold represents a separate condition that must be evaluated on its own merits.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd,' potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial line setting. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their analysis, while this market’s price is determined by traders actively buying and selling contracts based on their own predictions. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access or interpretations of the same information. It's common to see prediction markets move more efficiently as new information becomes available, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional betting odds.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders submit buy and sell orders for contracts representing their belief about whether the total points scored in the second half will be over or under a certain threshold. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by the collective actions of all participants. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price fluctuates, providing a dynamic assessment of the expected total points scored. The market’s price is a real-time indicator of collective belief.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the total points scored in the second half of the 49ers versus Seahawks game will be used to determine whether the 'over' or 'under' contract wins. The official game statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will serve as the basis for verifying the final result. The resolution will be based on the official, final score, and any adjustments made by the league will be considered.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries to either the 49ers or Seahawks, particularly quarterbacks or key offensive players, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect scoring potential. Game-day developments, like early scoring drives or turnovers, will cause the market to react in real-time. Even broader football news, such as coaching decisions or team strategy adjustments, could contribute to price movements.