TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 5:23 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will lead after the first quarter of play in an upcoming NFL game. It reflects the competitive momentum and early-game performance of the teams involved, with outcomes based purely on points scored within that specific quarter.
If Seattle wins the 1st Quarter of the SF 49ers vs SEA Seahawks Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If San Francisco wins the 1st Quarter of the SF 49ers vs SEA Seahawks Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 1st Quarter of the SF 49ers vs SEA Seahawks Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s prices are driven purely by supply and demand from traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing a team’s chances, you’ll often see the prediction market odds diverge, potentially offering an edge. However, as the event approaches, these odds tend to converge as more information becomes available.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official result of which team won the first quarter of the 49ers versus Seahawks game will determine the winning contract. The market will then settle, and winning contracts will pay out based on their price at the time of resolution. Traders holding the contract corresponding to the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the losing team will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries to either the 49ers or Seahawks would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also shift the odds. Furthermore, any significant news related to team morale, coaching decisions, or even pre-game analysis from respected sports analysts could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market. Public betting patterns and large volume trades on Kalshi will also be key indicators.