TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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SF 49ers vs SEA Seahawks: 1st Quarter Spread
kalshi

What is the result of SF 49ers vs SEA Seahawks?

Volume:
$116,529

SF 49ers wins by over 2.5 points

 - Kalshi

SF 49ers wins by over 2.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 11, 2026

Closed: Oct 11, 5:23 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

SF 49ers wins by over 2.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$43,220
N/A
N/A
$19,207
Settled
No
kalshi

SEA Seahawks wins by over 2.5 points

View
0%
41%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$38,361
N/A
N/A
$26,257
Settled
No
kalshi

SF 49ers wins by over 6.5 points

View
0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,387
N/A
N/A
$8,560
Settled
No
kalshi

SF 49ers wins by over 7.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,077
N/A
N/A
$6,862
Settled
No
kalshi

SF 49ers wins by over 3.5 points

View
0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,157
N/A
N/A
$3,102
Settled
No
kalshi

SEA Seahawks wins by over 3.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,870
N/A
N/A
$2,670
Settled
No
kalshi

SEA Seahawks wins by over 6.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,630
N/A
N/A
$2,257
Settled
No
kalshi

SF 49ers wins by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,020
N/A
N/A
$1,020
Settled
No
kalshi

SEA Seahawks wins by over 7.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$543
N/A
N/A
$543
Settled
No
kalshi

SEA Seahawks wins by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$514
N/A
N/A
$514
Settled
No
kalshi

San Francisco wins by over 14.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$374
N/A
N/A
$374
Settled
No
kalshi

San Francisco wins by over 17.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$374
N/A
N/A
$374
Settled
No
Total markets: 12

Description

This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the first quarter of an upcoming NFL game. Bettors can choose various thresholds for how much one team might win by in that specific segment of the match, allowing for nuanced predictions about early-game performance.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the point difference between the Seattle Seahawks and the San Francisco 49ers during the first quarter of their game scheduled for October 11, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the winning team exceeds the specified point margin for that market. For markets where the Seahawks win by more than a given margin (10.5, 7.5, 6.5, 3.5, or 2.5 points), resolution depends on Seattle's first-quarter performance. Conversely, markets for the 49ers winning by more than a set margin (2.5, 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, or 10.5 points) resolve based on San Francisco's first-quarter result. Only points scored in the first quarter count, and all markets are independent, meaning each has its own resolution criteria tied strictly to the specified point differential thresholds.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the 49ers-Seahawks 1st quarter spread tracks the current price of contracts representing different point spreads for the first quarter of the game. It displays the trading volume, currently at $116,529, and the 24-hour trading volume, which is $114,852. You can also view a price history chart to see how the market has moved over time, giving you insight into trader sentiment. This allows users to monitor how confidence in either team covering the spread evolves as game day approaches.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market represents the collective predictions of many individuals. Often, prediction markets are considered more accurate than traditional point spreads, especially closer to the event. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and widely publicized, offering a common benchmark for comparison. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information or biases influencing each type of market.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the first quarter. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set accurate prices, as they profit from correctly predicting the outcome. As more trades occur, the price converges towards a consensus view, providing a real-time assessment of the likely 1st quarter spread between the 49ers and the Seahawks.

This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official result of the 49ers-Seahawks 1st quarter spread is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread will be determined by the official game statistics, and the contracts will pay out based on whether the actual spread falls within the range represented by the purchased contracts. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process, tied directly to the real-world event.

Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding key player injuries to either the 49ers or Seahawks would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also shift the market. Unexpected news related to team strategy or coaching decisions might also cause movement. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a shift in sentiment, leading to price adjustments in this market.