TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 6:20 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which team will lead at halftime in an upcoming NFL game between the San Francisco 49ers and the Seattle Seahawks. It specifically tracks the scoring performance of both teams during the first two quarters of play. The outcome depends solely on which side manages to score more points before halftime, with a tie resulting in a distinct resolution.
If Seattle wins the 1st Half of the SF 49ers vs SEA Seahawks Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If San Francisco wins the 1st Half of the SF 49ers vs SEA Seahawks Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 1st Half of the SF 49ers vs SEA Seahawks Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines which can be influenced by factors like public bias or sharp action. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance betting volume, whereas this market’s price is driven purely by individuals willing to buy or sell based on their own analysis. Over time, the prices in this market may converge with sportsbook odds as more information becomes available and the event approaches, but discrepancies can still occur due to differing participant information and motivations.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders set the odds by placing buy and sell orders. The current price represents the probability of a particular outcome—in this case, either the 49ers or the Seahawks winning the first half. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand; if more traders believe the 49ers will win, the price for that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to aggregate information and reflect collective predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the first half of the game between the 49ers and the Seahawks will determine the outcome. The result will be based on the official game statistics and final score at halftime, as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected on Kalshi following the game's conclusion.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding key player injuries to either the 49ers or the Seahawks would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they heavily favor one team’s style of play, could also shift predictions. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team morale could also play a role. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself, driven by informed traders, can quickly alter the price and reflect new information or sentiment.