TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 5:55 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether more than 0.5 goals will be scored in the Sevilla versus Osasuna La Liga soccer game. Currently, the probability of over 0.5 goals being scored on Kalshi is 99.0%. The market will resolve based on whether over 2.5 goals are scored in the game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as determined by the official result of the match. Keep an eye on the kickoff of the match on October 26, 2026, as the game’s start will initiate the period for which goals are counted towards resolution.
All markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored in the Sevilla vs Osasuna La Liga game scheduled for October 26, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Each market has a different threshold for goals: over 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals. If the actual total goals meet or exceed the specified threshold for a given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The secondary rule clarifies that Kalshi has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price here will move accordingly, potentially offering an edge. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the Sevilla vs Osasuna match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes – in this case, the total number of goals scored. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices converge to reflect the most accurate prediction. The current price indicates the cost to purchase a contract that pays out if the corresponding outcome is realized at the end of the match.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result – the total number of goals scored in the Sevilla vs Osasuna match – will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official match data and will be publicly available following the completion of the game. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals will receive a payout according to the contract’s value at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Sevilla or Osasuna would likely cause movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to significantly impact the style of play, could also shift the market. Late-breaking team news, tactical announcements from the managers, or even significant shifts in public betting sentiment based on pre-match analysis can all contribute to price fluctuations in this market before Oct 27, 2026.