TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 5:57 PM EST
Kalshi
This event involves a football match where two teams compete against each other. The focus is on whether both teams manage to score at least one goal during the regular 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time. The outcome depends solely on the performance of the teams within the standard match duration.
If Sevilla and Osasuna both score a goal in the Sevilla vs Osasuna La Liga match originally scheduled for Oct 26, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and attempt to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing the probability of both teams scoring in the Sevilla vs Osasuna match, the price on Kalshi will move to reflect that collective opinion. This can sometimes lead to more accurate probabilities than those initially offered by sportsbooks, though discrepancies can and do occur.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing a 'yes' or 'no' outcome to the question of whether both Sevilla and Osasuna will score during the match. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively representing the market’s consensus probability of the event occurring. A higher price indicates a greater perceived chance of both teams scoring, while a lower price suggests the opposite. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and trading accordingly.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Sevilla or Osasuna would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the style of play, could also move the market. Additionally, any significant pre-match analysis from reputable sources suggesting a change in expected goal-scoring potential could shift trader sentiment and alter the price on Kalshi. Team lineups announced shortly before kickoff will also be closely watched.