TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Sevilla wins by more than 1.5 goals
- Kalshi
Sevilla wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 6, 2026
Time left: 04d:02h:45m
$
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Sevilla and Alaves, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on how many goals the winning team scores beyond their opponent during regular time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates different goal-differential scenarios in the Sevilla vs Alaves La Liga match scheduled for November 6, 2026. All outcomes are determined solely by the final score after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty phases. Four distinct conditions are evaluated: Sevilla winning by more than 2.5 goals, Sevilla winning by more than 1.5 goals, Alaves winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Alaves winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each condition corresponds to a separate market that resolves to 'Yes' if the specified goal-differential condition is met; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. The operator explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular result in the Sevilla vs Alaves match, they can trade in a way that pushes the prediction market odds closer to their assessment. This can lead to discrepancies between the two.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Sevilla vs Alaves match, specifically the final spread. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual game result. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will be paid out based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Nov 7, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team formations, or changes in coaching staff for either Sevilla or Alaves could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions or referee announcements might also impact the perceived probabilities. Additionally, large trading volume from informed traders or public sentiment shifts, driven by analysis or media coverage, could cause noticeable price movements in this market. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential shifts in the market’s prediction.