TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Series Winner: Chicago WS vs Cleveland
kalshi

Who will win Series: Chicago WS vs Cleveland?

Volume:
$379,958

Cleveland

 - Kalshi

Cleveland - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 10, 2026

Closed: Oct 10, 11:09 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Cleveland

View
100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$266,807
N/A
N/A
$181,416
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Chicago WS

0%
42%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$113,151
N/A
N/A
$71,080
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Intro

This market tracks which team will win the 2026 Chicago White Sox versus Cleveland Guardians Division Series in the Pro Baseball Playoffs. Currently, Kalshi gives a 56.0% probability to Cleveland winning the series, while Chicago has a 45.0% probability. The market will resolve based on which team advances from the series, as determined by official results from the 2026 Pro Baseball Playoffs. Keep an eye on the start of the Division Series, scheduled for October 18, 2026, as that will mark the beginning of the event window for resolution.

Kalshi

If Chicago WS wins the Chicago WS vs Cleveland Division Series in the 2026 Pro Baseball Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes. If Cleveland wins the Chicago WS vs Cleveland Division Series in the 2026 Pro Baseball Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the World Series winner market tracks the current odds for each team, the price history showing how those odds have changed over time, and the 24-hour trading volume. Currently, volume is $50,877. You can see how traders are positioning themselves on who they believe will win the championship. The dashboard provides a real-time view of the collective predictions being made about the series, offering insight into the perceived probabilities of each team’s success. The total volume traded in this market is $379,958.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different kind of wisdom than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, incorporating a profit margin, and may be influenced by public betting patterns. This market, however, represents the aggregated predictions of informed individuals who have ‘skin in the game’ – they are financially incentivized to be accurate. While both aim to predict the eventual winner, the dynamics driving the odds are distinct, and you may find differences in probabilities assigned to each team. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional polls and, sometimes, even sportsbooks in predictive accuracy.

This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the World Series champion is verified against credible public reporting. The team that wins the final game of the World Series will be declared the winner of this market. The resolution will be based on the official results announced by Major League Baseball. Traders will be able to claim their winnings based on their positions in the market at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor the market leading up to the resolution date to understand the prevailing sentiment.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Major player injuries to key players on either the Chicago WS or Cleveland teams would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected performance during the regular season, particularly strong or weak showings against other contenders, will also influence trader sentiment. News regarding team strategy, pitching rotations, or managerial decisions could also move the market. Finally, any significant upsets in the playoff rounds leading up to the World Series will undoubtedly cause fluctuations in the probabilities assigned to each team.