TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

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Kalshi:

63%

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Series Game Spread: Las Vegas vs Golden State
kalshi

What is the result of Las Vegas vs Golden State?

Volume:
$1,565

Golden State -1.5 games

 - Kalshi

Golden State -1.5 games - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 10, 2026

Closed: Oct 10, 12:13 AM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Golden State -1.5 games

View
100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$922
N/A
N/A
$570
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Golden State -2.5 games

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$19
N/A
N/A
$19
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Las Vegas -1.5 games

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$611
N/A
N/A
$611
Settled
No
kalshi

Las Vegas -2.5 games

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13
N/A
N/A
$13
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

The market evaluates whether Las Vegas or Golden State wins their semifinal series by a specific margin. Each outcome corresponds to a different point differential threshold that must be exceeded for resolution.

Kalshi

This event determines the outcome of the Las Vegas vs Golden State Semifinals series in the 2026 women's Pro Basketball Playoffs based on the point differential between the two teams. Four separate outcomes are possible, each corresponding to a specific margin of victory: Las Vegas winning by more than 2.5 games, Las Vegas winning by more than 1.5 games, Golden State winning by more than 1.5 games, or Golden State winning by more than 2.5 games. The market resolves to Yes for the respective outcome if the actual margin of victory meets or exceeds the specified threshold. The series must be played as part of the official 2026 women's Pro Basketball Playoffs Semifinals between Las Vegas and Golden State for the market to be valid. All outcomes are independent, and only the outcome matching the actual result will resolve to Yes, with all others resolving to No.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Las Vegas vs Golden State series tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probabilities shift as traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes in this series. Currently, the total volume for this market is $1,565, with $38 traded in the last 24 hours. This provides a real-time view of how the crowd is assessing the potential results of the series, offering insights beyond traditional polls or analyses.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds to balance action and ensure profit, incorporating a margin for themselves. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs, leading to potentially more accurate predictions as new information emerges. While sportsbooks may react to news, the prediction market integrates that information more rapidly through continuous trading. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news related to the series.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the potential outcome of the Las Vegas vs Golden State series. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe a particular outcome is likely, the price of that contract increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities accordingly, offering a forward-looking assessment of the series’ potential results.

This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final series result – which team wins the series. The platform will verify the outcome against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy. This provides a clear and transparent process for determining the winner of this market, reflecting the actual results of the Las Vegas vs Golden State series.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Injuries to key players on either the Las Vegas or Golden State teams would undoubtedly shift the odds. Unexpected changes in team performance, coaching strategies, or even off-court controversies could also influence trading activity. Major news regarding player health, suspensions, or significant roster changes will likely cause price fluctuations. Public perception, as reflected in media coverage and expert analysis, can also play a role, though the market’s price is ultimately driven by traders’ willingness to buy or sell contracts.