TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 2:43 PM EST
Limitless
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for October 19, 2026, 16:30 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for October 19, 2026, 16:30 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders, aims to reflect the true probability of an outcome, though discrepancies can and do occur. It's common to see prediction markets outperform sportsbook odds in terms of accuracy, particularly when a significant amount of volume is traded. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of the event's potential outcomes.
On Limitless, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of traders regarding the likelihood of that outcome. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Trading volume and order flow directly influence the price, creating a dynamic and responsive market. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will rise, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Serie A match between Monza and Cagliari. The platform will verify the final score against trusted sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual result. Traders holding contracts for the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to Oct 20, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Monza or Cagliari would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or managerial decisions could also cause price fluctuations. Monitoring these factors and observing changes in trading volume will provide insights into how the market is responding to new information.