TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 10d:14h:26m
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In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Serbia and Germany, originally scheduled for Friday, November 13, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Serbia" if Serbia score more goals than Germany in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Serbia and Germany score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Germany" if Germany score more goals than Serbia in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Sunday, November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve to "Draw". If the game has an official result but the second half was not completed, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor names, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences in a team's or player's name will not affect resolution, provided the intended team or player can be clearly and uniquely identified as a participant in the listed fixture or competition. If a listed name has no reasonable connection to any participant, or could reasonably refer to more than one participant such that the intended team or player cannot be determined, this market will resolve as it would if the listed fixture had been canceled entirely; a listed participant who cannot be identified does not count as inactive or absent. The primary resolution source for this market will be official match information from UEFA Nations League (https://www.uefa.com/uefanationsleague/). If the governing body or event organizers have not published final statistics within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve to "Draw".
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Serbia and Germany, originally scheduled for Friday, November 13, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Serbia" if Serbia score more goals than Germany in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Serbia and Germany score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Germany" if Germany score more goals than Serbia in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Sunday, November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve to "Draw". If the game has an official result but the second half was not completed, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor names, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences in a team's or player's name will not affect resolution, provided the intended team or player can be clearly and uniquely identified as a participant in the listed fixture or competition. If a listed name has no reasonable connection to any participant, or could reasonably refer to more than one participant such that the intended team or player cannot be determined, this market will resolve as it would if the listed fixture had been canceled entirely; a listed participant who cannot be identified does not count as inactive or absent. The primary resolution source for this market will be official match information from UEFA Nations League (https://www.uefa.com/uefanationsleague/). If the governing body or event organizers have not published final statistics within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve to "Draw".
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a broader range of information and incentives than traditional sportsbook odds. While sportsbooks primarily focus on statistical modeling and public perception, this market incorporates the wisdom of the crowd, allowing traders to weigh various factors – including injuries, team morale, and even subtle strategic shifts – into their predictions. This often leads to odds that are more accurate and efficient than those offered by sportsbooks, though discrepancies can occur based on differing market participants and information access. It’s common to see prediction markets quickly adjust to new information, potentially outpacing sportsbook adjustments.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. As more shares are purchased for a specific outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. The current top outcome, with a chance percentage of 49.5%, is driving the market’s overall direction, and the volume traded indicates the level of interest and conviction among traders.
This market resolves around Nov 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by which team – Serbia or Germany – wins the second half of the match. The official result, as reported by recognized sports authorities, will serve as the basis for settlement. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. The final score will be the determining factor.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before Nov 13, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Serbia or Germany would likely cause a shift in probabilities. Unexpected changes in team formations or tactical approaches announced before the match could also influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, real-time events during the first half of the match, such as early goals or red cards, could trigger rapid adjustments in the market as traders react to the unfolding situation. Public sentiment and expert analysis leading up to and during the game could also play a role.