TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$181,481,432
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,827,991,073
405,996
Markets across
40,551
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,368
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 11d:03h:51m
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In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Serbia and Germany, originally scheduled for Friday, November 13, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Serbia and Germany, originally scheduled for Friday, November 13, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and a desire to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant number of traders believe a particular halftime result is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the odds on Polymarket will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of money flows into either market, as this market incorporates a broader range of information and perspectives.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing each possible halftime result – Serbia leading, Germany leading, or a draw. The price of each share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people trade, the prices adjust, providing a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each scenario. The current top outcome, as indicated by the highest share price, has a chance percentage of 57.5%.
This market resolves around Nov 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The halftime result – whether Serbia is leading, Germany is leading, or the game is a draw – will be determined based on official game statistics. The platform will verify the result against these sources to ensure accuracy and finalize the market settlement. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout based on the final share price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or even weather conditions could prompt traders to reassess their predictions. Unexpected pre-game analysis or expert opinions could also sway sentiment. Major shifts in public opinion, reflected in social media or betting trends, might also impact trading volume and price movement. Keep an eye on these signals as they emerge, as they could lead to significant changes in this market before Nov 13, 2026.