TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Serbia vs. Germany
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Serbia vs. Germany?

Total volume:
$421
Volume 24h:
$405N/A
Liquidity:
$12,460
3%
Open interest:
$57
13%

Germany

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 13, 2026

Time left: 11d:00h:24m

Germany wins

76%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 76¢ buys you 132 shares | Odds: 76% Total Payout: $132 | Net Profit: $32 Multiplier: 1.32x | ROI: 32% APY not meaningful 11 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Germany

Trade
76%
Yes 76¢No 27¢
3¢
N/A
$21
43%
N/A
$21
1w 4d
Active
polymarket

Germany

Trade
74%
Yes 76¢No 28¢
4¢
$4,656
$1
0%
N/A
N/A
1w 3d 21h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
75.9%
Yes 76¢No 27.5¢
Avg: 3.5¢Max: 4¢
kalshi

Serbia

Trade
8%
Yes 11¢No 92¢
3¢
N/A
$399
0%
N/A
$36
1w 4d
Active
polymarket

Serbia

Trade
10%
Yes 12¢No 92¢
4¢
$4,143
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 3d 21h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
8%
Yes 11¢No 92¢
Avg: 3.5¢Max: 4¢
kalshi

Tie

Trade
N/A
N/A
3¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d
Active
polymarket

Draw (Serbia vs. Germany)

Trade
14%
Yes 16¢No 88¢
4¢
$3,660
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 3d 21h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 3.5¢Max: 4¢
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a UEFA Nations League soccer match between Serbia and Germany scheduled for November 13, 2026. Markets exist for Serbia winning, Germany winning, and the game ending in a draw. All markets consider only the first 90 minutes of play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket has comprehensive no-result and abandonment provisions, while Kalshi lacks these, creating a discrepancy in how a canceled or abandoned game would be resolved.Hero tip: Be aware that Polymarket's more stringent rules regarding game completion could lead to a 'No' resolution in scenarios where Kalshi might resolve based on an awarded result.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: If the game is canceled, does not start by Sunday, November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve to "No". Detailed abandonment rules apply.
  • Kalshi: If Serbia wins, Germany wins, or the game is a tie, the market resolves to 'Yes'. No mention of abandonment or cancellation rules.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Serbia and Germany, originally scheduled for Friday, November 13, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Serbia vs Germany UEFA Nations League soccer match scheduled for November 13, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for either Serbia or Germany occurs only if that team secures a victory within regular time; a tied score resolves the 'Tie' market as 'Yes.' If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. These rules apply uniformly across all three outcome-based markets, with no consideration given to extra time, penalty shootouts, or other post-regulation proceedings.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of various outcomes for the Serbia vs. Germany match. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $421, with $8 traded in the last 24 hours. This provides a consensus view of predictions, reflecting the collective wisdom of market participants. The dashboard displays the implied probabilities for each possible result, allowing users to see where the crowd believes the most likely outcome lies. It’s a dynamic representation of expectations as new information becomes available.

Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the nature of how they are determined. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets are driven by actual trading volume and the collective beliefs of participants. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, especially when there's significant information asymmetry. Furthermore, prediction markets allow participants to take either side of the outcome, whereas sportsbooks primarily offer fixed odds. This market reflects real-time sentiment, potentially offering insights beyond traditional betting lines.

Prices for this market may vary between Polymarket and Kalshi due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has a different user base and varying levels of liquidity, which can influence price discovery. Trading fees and platform-specific rules can also contribute to discrepancies. Additionally, the way information is disseminated and interpreted by traders on each platform might differ, leading to divergent opinions. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Will Germany win on 2026-11-13? at 74.0%, while Kalshi leans toward Germany wins at 76.0%.

This market resolves around Nov 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Serbia vs. Germany match as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on their positions in this market. The final result will be publicly available on both Polymarket and Kalshi.

Several signals could significantly impact this market before Nov 13, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team lineups, or changes in coaching staff for either Serbia or Germany could shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions at the match location could also influence the outcome and, consequently, the market. Furthermore, major upsets in other related matches or tournaments might affect overall sentiment and trading activity. Public statements from key players or analysts could also contribute to price movements in this market, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.