TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 1:05 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on the outcome of a women's FIFA World Cup Qualifiers soccer match between Serbia and Finland after regulation time. The match will determine which team secures a victory in normal playing time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts.
The market resolves based on the result of the Serbia vs Finland professional FIFA World Cup Qualifiers Women soccer game scheduled for October 13, 2026. There are three possible outcomes: Serbia wins in regulation time, Finland wins in regulation time, or the game ends in a tie after regulation time. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours away from the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price. The markets are not endorsed by or affiliated with FIFA or the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust the price based on their own analysis and information. If a significant amount of money is wagered on one outcome, the price will shift accordingly, potentially diverging from sportsbook lines. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast probabilities, especially as the event approaches, due to the continuous flow of information and diverse perspectives incorporated into the pricing.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing a 'yes' vote for Serbia winning in regulation time. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the probability of that outcome. As more traders buy 'yes' contracts, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform facilitates this price discovery process, allowing the market to reflect the collective beliefs of all participants. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Serbia vs Finland match is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the regulation time moneyline – whether Serbia won, lost, or drew. The platform will use official sources to determine the winner, and the market will settle accordingly. Traders holding 'yes' contracts for Serbia will receive a payout if Serbia wins in regulation time, while those holding 'no' contracts will receive a payout if Finland wins or the game ends in a draw.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or tactical changes could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the availability of key players for either Serbia or Finland would likely cause significant price movement. Additionally, public opinion, expert analysis, and even weather conditions could play a role. As the match date approaches, the market will become more sensitive to any new information that could affect the perceived probability of a Serbia victory in regulation time.