TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
More markets for the UEFA Women's World Cup Qualification game, scheduled for October 13 at 11:00 AM ET.
More markets for the UEFA Women's World Cup Qualification game, scheduled for October 13 at 11:00 AM ET.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. If there's a significant discrepancy, it may indicate that the market believes a sportsbook is mispricing a particular outcome. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective prediction. Higher demand for shares in a particular outcome will drive its price up, indicating a greater perceived chance of success, while lower demand will lower the price. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date information.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Serbia vs. Finland match as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could significantly shift the perceived probabilities. Major upsets in other relevant matches or shifts in public sentiment, reflected in media coverage and social media, could also play a role. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by influential traders could create momentum and move the market, especially if they signal new information or a change in outlook.