TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 5:36 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Seoul and Gimcheon Sangmu, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result is determined solely by the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. Bettors assess how decisively one team might outperform the other in this competitive league fixture.
The event evaluates different winning margins in the Seoul vs Gimcheon Sangmu Korea K League 1 soccer match scheduled for October 18, 2026. Resolution occurs based on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty phases. Four distinct outcome thresholds exist: Seoul winning by more than 2.5 goals, Seoul winning by more than 1.5 goals, Gimcheon Sangmu winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Gimcheon Sangmu winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each threshold represents a separate market that resolves to 'Yes' if the respective condition is met; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets are independent, and the governing league’s official result determines resolution. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market aggregates insights from many individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can be useful for informed decision-making, but it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities based on different methodologies and information sources.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome of the Seoul versus Gimcheon Sangmu spread. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively representing the market’s probability assessment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated expectations of all participants trading on Kalshi, and provides a real-time indication of the perceived likelihood of each possible spread outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the Seoul versus Gimcheon Sangmu match, as determined by official league results, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Traders holding contracts aligned with the actual spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not. The resolution process ensures a transparent and verifiable outcome based on the official game results.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 18, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or even weather conditions could all shift market sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or coaching decisions could also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and influence the price. Monitoring these signals and events can provide valuable insights into potential market movements.