TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 10:46 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming KBL game, scheduled for October 11 at 1:00AM ET: If the Seoul Thunders win, the market will resolve to "Seoul Thunders". If the Goyang win, the market will resolve to "Goyang". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
In the upcoming KBL game, scheduled for October 11 at 1:00AM ET: If the Seoul Thunders win, the market will resolve to "Seoul Thunders". If the Goyang win, the market will resolve to "Goyang". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market represents the aggregated beliefs of individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when public opinion strongly deviates from the sportsbook’s initial assessment. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders who believe the market has mispriced the probability of a particular outcome. Keep in mind that sportsbook odds are influenced by the house edge, which is not present in a purely peer-to-peer prediction market.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand; there are no external factors influencing the pricing process. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to new information and changing perceptions.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Seoul Thunders versus Goyang basketball game. The platform will rely on widely accepted sources to determine the winner of the matchup. Traders who hold shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. The exact payout amount will depend on the market price at the time of resolution.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching strategies could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected performance in prior games, or shifts in public sentiment regarding either team, could also drive price movements. Major announcements related to the game schedule or venue could also play a role. Furthermore, large trades or strategic positions taken by influential traders on Polymarket could create short-term volatility and shift the market’s direction.