TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 1:11 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Terence Atmane and Taro Daniel in the Seoul, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Terence Atmane' if Terence Atmane advances against Taro Daniel. This market will resolve to 'Taro Daniel' if Taro Daniel advances against Terence Atmane. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Terence Atmane and Taro Daniel in the Seoul, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Terence Atmane' if Terence Atmane advances against Taro Daniel. This market will resolve to 'Taro Daniel' if Taro Daniel advances against Terence Atmane. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It’s common to see prediction markets react quickly to new information, potentially leading to odds movements that diverge from sportsbook offerings before eventually converging.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Atmane vs Daniel match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each outcome. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to represent the collective forecast. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and is not influenced by external factors or other prediction venues.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Atmane vs Daniel match as reported by recognized tennis authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 5, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (weather, court surface), or significant shifts in expert analysis could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving either player might also lead to adjustments in the odds. Furthermore, large volume trades by influential market participants could create short-term price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how the market evolves as the match approaches.