TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 3:45 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Terence Atmane and Seong-Chan Hong in the Seoul, originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Terence Atmane' if Terence Atmane advances against Seong-Chan Hong. This market will resolve to 'Seong-Chan Hong' if Seong-Chan Hong advances against Terence Atmane. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Terence Atmane and Seong-Chan Hong in the Seoul, originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Terence Atmane' if Terence Atmane advances against Seong-Chan Hong. This market will resolve to 'Seong-Chan Hong' if Seong-Chan Hong advances against Terence Atmane. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially differing from those set by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their view. If sportsbooks initially underestimate or overestimate a player’s chances, the prediction market may converge towards a more accurate probability as more information becomes available and traders adjust their positions. It’s useful to compare the implied probabilities to see if there’s a significant difference in expectations.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. The price of each share reflects the market’s current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust accordingly. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price discovery process is driven by supply and demand, and the platform facilitates this by allowing traders to quickly and easily adjust their positions based on their beliefs about the match’s outcome.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Atmane vs Hong match as reported by recognized tennis authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (such as court surface or weather), or updates on player form could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players could also impact expectations. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed bettors could signal a change in outlook, potentially causing significant price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves.