TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 11:50 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Taro Daniel and Andre Ilagan in the Seoul, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Taro Daniel' if Taro Daniel advances against Andre Ilagan. This market will resolve to 'Andre Ilagan' if Andre Ilagan advances against Taro Daniel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Taro Daniel and Andre Ilagan in the Seoul, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Taro Daniel' if Taro Daniel advances against Andre Ilagan. This market will resolve to 'Andre Ilagan' if Andre Ilagan advances against Taro Daniel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own research and information. If there's a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional odds, especially when a large amount of informed trading occurs. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of potential outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived likelihood. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing sentiment, providing a real-time assessment of the event's potential results. This creates a fluid and responsive pricing system.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Daniel vs Ilagan match, as declared by the governing tennis authorities. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who held shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution. The process aims to provide a clear and objective determination of the market's outcome.
Several factors could influence this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public opinion could cause the odds to move. Unexpected performance in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even commentary from tennis analysts, could also impact trading activity. A strong showing from either player in practice sessions leading up to the match could also shift expectations. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential market movements and inform your trading decisions.