TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:32 AM EST
Kalshi
Two professional basketball teams compete in a high-stakes match where the outcome determines the winner between Seoul SK Knights and Samsung Thunders. Fans and analysts will closely watch the game's progress, with the result impacting team standings and player performances.
Markets resolve to Yes if the specified team wins the men's professional South Korea KBL basketball game as scheduled. If postponed within 48 hours, markets stay open for resolution based on the final result. Cancellations or failures to start within 48 hours lead to fair price resolution. Kalshi disclaims affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and perspectives from many traders. As more information becomes available – such as team injuries or changes in coaching strategies – the odds in this market can adjust more quickly than those offered by traditional sportsbooks. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before the event begins, as the market digests new data.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices converge to reflect the most accurate prediction possible. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity indicate the level of confidence traders have in each possible result, and the price movements signal shifts in sentiment as new information emerges.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Seoul SK Knights versus Samsung Thunders game, as declared by the KBL (Korean Basketball League). The winning team, as determined by the official game score, will be the outcome reflected in the market's resolution. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the losing team will not.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Player injuries to key players on either the Seoul SK Knights or the Samsung Thunders would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected coaching changes, significant changes in team performance during regular season games leading up to the championship, or even public statements from team officials could all influence trader behavior. Any news impacting team morale or strategic advantages could also move this market, as traders react to the perceived impact on the game's outcome.