TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 4:15 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Marin Cilic and Zhizhen Zhang in the Seoul, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marin Cilic' if Marin Cilic advances against Zhizhen Zhang. This market will resolve to 'Zhizhen Zhang' if Zhizhen Zhang advances against Marin Cilic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Marin Cilic and Zhizhen Zhang in the Seoul, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marin Cilic' if Marin Cilic advances against Zhizhen Zhang. This market will resolve to 'Zhizhen Zhang' if Zhizhen Zhang advances against Marin Cilic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by house biases or initial public perception. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance betting action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own analysis. Discrepancies can arise from differing information sources or varying levels of expertise among participants. It’s common to see prediction markets converge towards more accurate probabilities as more information becomes available and trading volume increases.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the market price adjusts to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a share, essentially expressing their forecast for the match’s result. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Marin Cilic versus Zhizhen Zhang match, as reported by recognized sporting authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated match analysis from reputable sources could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player form or strategic adjustments could also lead to price movements. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket itself can impact the market, as traders react to new information or attempt to capitalize on perceived mispricings. The closer we get to Nov 3, 2026, the more sensitive the market will likely become to these signals.