TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 6:26 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jang-Jun Kim and Billy Harris in the Seoul, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jang-Jun Kim' if Jang-Jun Kim advances against Billy Harris. This market will resolve to 'Billy Harris' if Billy Harris advances against Jang-Jun Kim. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jang-Jun Kim and Billy Harris in the Seoul, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jang-Jun Kim' if Jang-Jun Kim advances against Billy Harris. This market will resolve to 'Billy Harris' if Billy Harris advances against Jang-Jun Kim. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s prices are driven purely by traders’ willingness to buy or sell, representing their collective belief about the outcome. If prediction market odds diverge significantly from sportsbook odds, it may indicate disagreement about the true probabilities or differing levels of information available to each group. It’s worth comparing the two to gain a broader perspective on the event’s potential results.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders can buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Kim vs Harris match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the match gets, the more responsive the price will be to new information and shifts in sentiment. This dynamic pricing allows the market to reflect the most up-to-date expectations of traders.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Kim vs Harris match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will then determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for the final match results to understand when and how this market will be settled.
Several signals could influence the price of this market before Nov 3, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in public perception could cause traders to reassess their probabilities. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or player form could also lead to price movements. Furthermore, large volume trades on Polymarket can quickly shift the odds, reflecting a strong conviction from informed traders. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding potential market fluctuations.