TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 2:56 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Seoul E-Land and Gimhae, focusing on which team will secure a victory within the standard 90-minute regulation time plus any added stoppage time. The event specifically excludes outcomes determined by extra time or penalty shootouts, emphasizing the immediate final result of the match. It also accounts for potential game cancellations or rescheduling, ensuring a fair resolution under those circumstances.
The event determines the winner of the Seoul E-Land vs Gimhae professional Korea K-League 2 soccer match scheduled for October 18, 2026, based solely on the result after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Three distinct outcomes are possible: Seoul E-Land win, Gimhae win, or a tie. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price. All markets are independent and resolve based on the specific conditions outlined for each outcome, ensuring clarity and fairness in determining the final result.
Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd rather than a sportsbook’s internal models. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and ensure profit, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, opportunities for arbitrage may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. However, it's important to remember that prediction markets are forward-looking and incorporate new information quickly, potentially leading to different probabilities than those found at sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Seoul E-Land vs Gimhae match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust, providing a dynamic assessment of the event’s potential results. The current price indicates what traders collectively believe is the likelihood of a specific result.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Seoul E-Land vs Gimhae match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The final result will determine which contracts pay out, and the payout amount will depend on the contract’s price at the time of resolution. Traders holding winning contracts will receive a payout based on the market's pricing.
Several factors could influence this market before the Seoul E-Land vs Gimhae match takes place. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or shifts in coaching strategies could significantly impact the odds. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match analysis from sports commentators, could also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed traders could signal new information entering the market, leading to price adjustments as others react to their activity.