TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 1:09 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Christian Langmo and Aleksandar Vukic in the Seoul, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 11:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Christian Langmo' if Christian Langmo advances against Aleksandar Vukic. This market will resolve to 'Aleksandar Vukic' if Aleksandar Vukic advances against Christian Langmo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Christian Langmo and Aleksandar Vukic in the Seoul, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 11:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Christian Langmo' if Christian Langmo advances against Aleksandar Vukic. This market will resolve to 'Aleksandar Vukic' if Aleksandar Vukic advances against Christian Langmo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Analyzing these differences can be insightful, as prediction markets sometimes anticipate outcomes more accurately than traditional methods, though this isn't always the case.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market collectively believes is the fair probability. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand; if more people believe a particular outcome is likely, they will bid up the price of shares representing that outcome, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Langmo-Vukic match will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. Resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing body of the tournament. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market's outcome, allowing for fair settlement of all outstanding shares.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries to either Christian Langmo or Aleksandar Vukic, or changes in playing conditions could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the event, or even significant weather forecasts impacting the playing surface, could also play a role. Publicly available analysis from tennis experts and shifts in betting odds at sportsbooks could also drive movement in this market as traders react to new information.