TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 4:03 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alibek Kachmazov and Seong-Chan Hong in the Seoul, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alibek Kachmazov' if Alibek Kachmazov advances against Seong-Chan Hong. This market will resolve to 'Seong-Chan Hong' if Seong-Chan Hong advances against Alibek Kachmazov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alibek Kachmazov and Seong-Chan Hong in the Seoul, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alibek Kachmazov' if Alibek Kachmazov advances against Seong-Chan Hong. This market will resolve to 'Seong-Chan Hong' if Seong-Chan Hong advances against Alibek Kachmazov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early on, as prediction markets can quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities based on trader actions. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, but remember that each represents a distinct form of forecasting.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes of the Kachmazov vs Hong match, and the price of each share reflects the market's current probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if more people believe Seong-Chan Hong will win, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase. This dynamic pricing allows the market to efficiently aggregate information and provide a real-time forecast.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Kachmazov vs Hong match as declared by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about either Alibek Kachmazov or Seong-Chan Hong’s physical condition would likely cause significant price movement. Any updates from reliable sources regarding the match itself, or the players’ preparation, could also shift the probabilities reflected in this market. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in the odds.