TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for Saturday, March 28, 2026 between Senegal and Peru.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Polymarket and Kalshi both resolve based on the official match outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on March 28, 2026, with identical scope and primary resolution source.
Primary resolution logic:
Official statistics from FIFA or the governing body/event organizers; if unavailable within 2 hours post-match, credible reporting consensus.Core resolution logic:
- The match outcome is determined after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only (no extra time or penalties).
- Exactly one of three mutually exclusive outcomes will occur: Senegal win, Peru win, or draw.
- Polymarket's three binary markets (Senegal win, Peru win, draw) and Kalshi's three outcome markets (Peru wins, Senegal wins, Tie) resolve consistently to the same underlying match result.
- If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until completion.
- If the match is canceled with no make-up game, Polymarket's draw market resolves YES and win markets resolve NO; Kalshi's markets resolve based on the cancellation outcome per their rules.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: If the match is postponed beyond March 28, 2026, both platforms keep markets open until the rescheduled match is completed and the official result is published.
- Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, Polymarket's draw market resolves YES (per explicit rule) while win markets resolve NO. Kalshi's resolution in this scenario follows its cancellation clause.
- Resolution Source Fallback: Both platforms use official FIFA/governing body statistics as primary source; if not published within 2 hours post-match, both fall back to credible reporting consensus.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official publication of the final match result by FIFA or the governing body within 2 hours after the match concludes, or upon consensus of credible reporting if official statistics are delayed.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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