TOTAL VOLUME:
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24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 11:00 AM EST
Predict
This event group concerns the outcome of the second half of a FIFA International Friendlies match between Senegal and Comoros. The markets ask which team will score more goals in the second half, or if the second half will end in a draw.
In the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game between Senegal and Comoros, scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Senegal" if Senegal score more goals than Comoros in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Senegal and Comoros score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Comoros" if Comoros score more goals than Senegal in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game between Senegal and Comoros, scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Senegal" if Senegal score more goals than Comoros in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Senegal and Comoros score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Comoros" if Comoros score more goals than Senegal in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the nature of how they are determined. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and attempt to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets rely on the collective intelligence of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets being more efficient at incorporating new information and reflecting the true probabilities of events. However, sportsbooks may offer different types of wagers and have different margins, influencing the comparison with this market.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict may differ due to variations in user base, trading volume, and market-specific factors. Polymarket currently favors a draw at approximately 98%, while Predict leans toward a draw as well, though with potentially differing probabilities due to lower volume. These platforms also have different fee structures and liquidity, which can impact pricing. Additionally, differing interpretations of available information or news surrounding the Senegal vs. Comoros match can contribute to discrepancies in how traders value potential outcomes in this market.