TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 9:58 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 6 at 7:00PM ET: If the Senators win, the market will resolve to "Senators". If the Red Wings win, the market will resolve to "Red Wings". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 6 at 7:00PM ET: If the Senators win, the market will resolve to "Senators". If the Red Wings win, the market will resolve to "Red Wings". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs. If a significant number of people believe an outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the odds on Polymarket will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly in events where public perception deviates from expert analysis.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the price fluctuates based on supply and demand, and traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions. The more traders who believe in a particular outcome, the higher the price of its corresponding shares will climb.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Senators vs. Red Wings game, as officially recorded by relevant sports authorities, will determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out based on the final share price at the time of resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their shares.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Key player injuries, unexpected lineup changes, or significant shifts in team performance could all lead to adjustments. News regarding team morale, coaching decisions, or even weather conditions impacting travel could also move the market. Furthermore, any major upsets in other games involving these teams could influence traders' perceptions and impact volume. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.